Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.398618 13.140172 15.001123 17.131199 19.495251 22.031937 24.952935
2025-02-16 8.673128 10.855068 13.334888 16.340296 19.861447 23.833239 28.628062
2025-02-23 7.081368 9.508086 12.412891 16.101928 20.614731 25.906901 32.529852
2025-03-02 5.822585 8.341578 11.502425 15.686899 21.001506 27.443898 35.753036
2025-03-09 4.946352 7.519907 10.889831 15.518176 21.591225 29.164217 39.182429
2025-03-16 4.167589 6.714961 10.190757 15.133676 21.819232 30.375086 41.956369
2025-03-23 3.681500 6.250056 9.885348 15.214692 22.613326 32.292375 45.648740
2025-03-30 3.233158 5.780040 9.515880 15.155113 23.179886 33.896679 48.951514
2025-04-06 2.915846 5.468029 9.336134 15.330850 24.051056 35.909603 52.829691
2025-04-13 2.638506 5.183894 9.165318 15.492075 24.887231 37.880834 56.688558
2025-04-20 2.458706 5.037803 9.187120 15.927672 26.118939 40.420223 61.377114
2025-04-27 2.269695 4.852528 9.126834 16.223770 27.144772 42.688597 65.738798
2025-05-04 2.037728 4.566752 8.883626 16.222788 27.731987 44.361301 69.332717
2025-05-11 1.715190 4.071820 8.247740 15.549997 27.258761 44.475689 70.707726
2025-05-18 1.511990 3.777210 7.924587 15.354967 27.496785 45.616469 73.561685
2025-05-25 1.305696 3.446963 7.506911 14.969005 27.405583 46.250955 75.680368
2025-06-01 1.155412 3.211531 7.237782 14.811973 27.661353 47.399460 78.565758
2025-06-08 0.997191 2.934434 6.863954 14.443701 27.548094 47.970214 80.593542
2025-06-15 0.907483 2.799370 6.748913 14.522667 28.166911 49.674501 84.347708
2025-06-22 0.812888 2.638090 6.566867 14.465621 28.549013 51.012636 87.569881
2025-06-29 0.749486 2.543929 6.511248 14.635125 29.316386 52.970303 91.773073
2025-07-06 0.690504 2.451953 6.451468 14.790569 30.060529 54.904497 95.975338
2025-07-13 0.658328 2.426448 6.529484 15.210467 31.275622 57.618407 101.435701